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Alex Smart |
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| Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing long term $74000.00 plus dime player run! |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Apr 27, 2024 Stars vs Golden Knights |
Golden Knights -105 at linepros |
Lost $105.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Dallas is the No. 1 seed in the West after garnering a conference-best 113 points in the regular season. But the Stars are down 2-0 in this series, vs a experienced play off squad that knows how to win big games in post season action as their defending Stanely Cup status would signify. Vegas has won the L/6 meetings in this series and Im betting they get the job done here again tonight.DALLAS is 11-24 ATS in the 3rd game of a playoff series since 1996. Play on the Golden Knights to win on the money-line |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Apr 27, 2024 A's vs Orioles |
Orioles -168 at SC Consensus |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Orioles starter IRVIN is 8-0 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.5. After getting upset yesterday by the As in the opner you can bet the sometimes explosive Os will be primed to bounce back. BALTIMORE is 34-12 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), with a slugging percentage of .440 or better over their last 20 games are 34-7 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Apr 27, 2024 Thunder vs Pelicans |
Thunder -1 -110 at YouWager |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Thunder are setting into a groove and when their in this kind of form they are har4d to beat. This team looked like they were on a mission last time out , as they destroyed the Pelicans, 124-92 count. Im betting the home side will play better here tonight, but that wont be enough against a defensively determined looking Thunder that has allowed no more than 92 points in the first two games of this series.. I know its highly likely tbhe NEW ORLEANS is 2-11 ATS in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-11 ATS after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-19 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 25-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 40-7 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. are 9-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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| PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Apr 28, 2024 Guardians vs Braves |
UNDER 9 +100 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Braves starter Elder (1-0, 0.00 ERA) and Guardians starter Lively (0-1, 2.38), are a viable pair of right-handers who according to my projections matchup well here vs these batting orders. CLEVELAND is 23-9 UNDER in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored.CLEVELAND is 27-14 UNDER as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. Atlanta ha allowed a total of 5 runs in their L/4 games as the D, and pitching staff look to be in top form. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ATLANTA/ CLEVELAND) - in a game involving two top-level teams ( 62% or better ), playing on Sunday are 30-4 UNDER /L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. Play under |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Apr 28, 2024 Knicks vs 76ers |
Knicks +5 -110 at linepros |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Knicks look like they matchup well vs the Knicks and despite of a DD loss last time out, are more than capable of giving the76ers all they can handle in this spot post season betting situation. The Knicks are also very motivated as they feel a fragrant foul from Joel Embiid against Mitchell Robinson should have resulted in an ejection in game 3. Bad blood starting to form, here and tight tough battle is my call. NEW YORK is 31-19 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.NEW YORK is 21-10 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Thibodeau is 31-17 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of NEW YORK. Nurse is 9-22 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival in all games he has coached since 1996. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |
